Biden and China

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With the exception of 70 million Trump supporters, you could hear the audible sigh of relief last Saturday night (local time) as the US, global leaders and the rest of the world celebrated the end of the Trump era with the hope of a more stable, predictable and strategic leadership team in the White House from 2021 onwards. However, whilst the style and personality of the US President will change dramatically, nobody so far is predicting a major shift in US policy towards China, at least in the short term.

According to the Global Times “Biden entering the White House is expected to provide an opportunity for breakthroughs in resuming high-level communication and rebuilding mutual strategic trust between the two major countries” and “Biden is expected to appoint more professional officials to his diplomatic team and so it will be possible for US-China tensions to take a brief timeout”.

As we look back over the Trump presidency and, particularly in the last two years, it’s amazing how quickly American sentiment has turned against China, particularly in the contest for leadership in the technology sector. According to one of the experts quoted by the Global Times “the essential difference between Biden and Trump would be in core areas such as aerospace, quantum communication and artificial intelligence. It is inevitable that China and the US will partly decouple from each other in the high-tech sector”.

Whilst many people seem to be looking forward to 2021 for a more stable and sensible environment, there are still 70 days to go before Inauguration Day, and I’m sure I won’t be the only one hiding behind the sofa every time I hear the words “Trump” and “China” on the news!

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